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model radar / anthropic / fable-6

Fable 6

Anthropic · the next Mythos-class generation
78% by Sep 30 · next mythos-class not announced — 5.1 likely first launches now clear a federal review

There is no announced Fable 6 — no name, date, or specs. “5” is the generation: Mythos is the unrestricted frontier tier, Fable the safeguarded public face of the same model, so Fable 6 means a whole new generation. Between here and there sits an analyst-predicted hardened “Fable 5.1” (not Anthropic-confirmed), and any future Mythos-class launch now carries Anthropic’s new commitments — government pre-release testing among them — forged in June’s export-control freeze. The market prices the next Mythos-class drop (whichever it is) at 84% by Sep 30. The second a new generation answers, ArtificialWatch fires.

next mythos-class — release odds live markets
Next Mythos-class model released by Jul 31polymarket 14%
Released by Aug 31polymarket 48%
Released by Sep 30polymarket 84%
odds as of Jul 11, 2026 · markets are sentiment, not a promise — the alert only fires on a real API answer
the wire

Leaks & news, newest first.

Jul 1 · restored

Fable 5 returns worldwide — with the safeguards that will gate every future launch

Anthropic redeployed Fable 5 globally behind a new safety classifier blocking the reported jailbreak “in over 99% of cases,” and Mythos 5 returned for vetted US organizations. The relaunch came with four forward commitments — including pre-release government evaluation for national-security-relevant models — that now shape how a Fable 6 would ship. via Anthropic · 9to5Google

Jun 30 · context

Export controls lifted — and Sonnet 5 ships the same day

Commerce lifted the directive on Fable 5 and Mythos 5; Anthropic announced the return that evening while also launching Claude Sonnet 5, its cheaper agentic workhorse. The frontier line and the workhorse line now move on separate cadences. via CNBC · Anthropic · TechCrunch

Jun 23 · analyst call

The roadmap read: a hardened “Fable 5.1” likely lands before any Fable 6

An analyst roadmap ranked Anthropic’s likely next moves: restore Fable 5 (done), then a hardened Mythos-class variant “possibly labeled Fable 5.1”, then point-bumps elsewhere — on a ~6–8 week cadence. A prediction, not an Anthropic statement, and this page treats it as one. via AIToolsReview (analyst, unconfirmed)

Jun 9–12 · the saga

Generation 5 launches — and gets frozen in 72 hours

Fable 5 and Mythos 5 launched Jun 9 (1M-token context, adaptive thinking) and were suspended Jun 12 under a US export-control directive over a reported jailbreak. The 19-day freeze is chronicled day-by-day on our sister site FableWatch. via Anthropic · FableWatch

from anthropic

The official word.

"Our hope is that this collaboration, along with our proposed consensus industry framework, will serve as the basis for systematic rules for the whole industry."

Anthropic, on the redeployment commitments · Jul 1, 2026 — on Fable 6 itself, Anthropic has said nothing; no date or name exists.

Fable 5The current generation — restored globally Jul 1 after the freeze.
Fable 5.1Analyst-predicted hardened variant — not confirmed by Anthropic.
Fable 6This page’s watch — a new generation; nothing announced.

Hear it the second Fable 6 answers.

We sweep Anthropic’s public API every 60 seconds. The moment a next-generation Fable answers, your channels fire — email + Chrome push free, SMS and a phone call on paid tiers. Markets and roadmap reads are sentiment; the alert means it’s live.

On the board. You'll hear the second Fable 6 goes live.