artificialwatch

Know the minute a new AI model drops.

A free Chrome push within about a minute of a new model going live on a provider's API, plus an email. Texts or a phone call if you want it anywhere.

✳ Free forever: email + Chrome push. No card. Upgrade only when you want it louder.

✳ the radar

What just dropped. What lands next.

Every launch we’ve called, newest first, then the ones we’re armed for, with live Polymarket odds where a market exists. Tap a model for its page.

model radar
full watchlist 170 · odds via polymarket · next sweep in 60s
✳ how it works

One sweep every minute. Then everything fires.

No dashboards to babysit. Pick the models, pick the channels, and go back to work. The board does the watching.

NEW ID
01 · watch

Checkers sweep the APIs

Every 60 seconds we poll the provider APIs we can reach directly plus the public catalogs every lab ships to. A new model has to show up on two sweeps in a row, and where we can call it, it has to answer. Debounced, so no false alarms.

PUSHPUSHSMSSMSCALLCALLEMAILEMAIL+15 min
02 · fire

Every channel you enabled

The moment a launch is confirmed, your channels fire: Chrome push for everyone, SMS and a phone call on paid plans. Free email follows in a batch about 15 minutes later.

03 · know

Then the intel rolls in

Every alert email carries a 30-second brief on the model. On paid plans, your own saved prompts run against it the day it lands, and we keep watching the subscriptions you pay for: the models they offer, their prices, their limits, and what quietly gets retired.

✳ the full watchlist

Everything on the watchlist.

The radar shows what lands next. This is the whole book: announced, leaked, rumored, or simply inevitable. Every one of them is swept every 60 seconds, and every one fires your alerts the second it answers.

GPT-6 AstraOpenAI · dropped Sep 3 · $10 / $50 · on the public API since Sep 4
live
GPT-6 SolOpenAI · dropped Sep 22 · $2 / $10 · the everyday tier
live
GPT-6 LunaOpenAI · dropped Sep 22 · $0.10 / $0.50 · high volume
live
o4OpenAI · reasoning track
rumored
GPT-5.6 Sol UltrafastOpenAI · Cerebras tier · 750 tok/s · preview
radar
GPT-5.6 Zinc / MagnesiumOpenAI · codenames seen in DesignArena
rumored
GPT-6.1OpenAI · scrapped per the WSJ · hunt kept
future
GPT-6.1 SolOpenAI · dropped Sep 29
live
Next GPT SolOpenAI · 6.2+ or 7 · armed on the cadence
watching
GPT-6oOpenAI · unannounced · DevDay passed with no GPT-6o
future
GPT-6 Astra LightOpenAI · rumored by one X account, no evidence
rumored
Next GPT TerraOpenAI · GPT-6 shipped with no Terra · Polymarket runs a market
future
GPT-6.5OpenAI · not announced
future
GPT-7OpenAI · not announced · Kalshi 60% before Sep 2027
future
OpenAI BelOpenAI · codename · not announced
future
Sora 3OpenAI · video · not announced
future
Gemini 5Google · not announced
future
Veo 4Google · video · not announced · Veo 3.1 is current
future
Nano Banana 3Google · image · not announced · Nano Banana 2.1 is current
future
Runway Gen-5Runway · video · not announced · Gen-4.5 is current
future
GPT-5.5OpenAI · dropped Apr 24
live
ChatGPT-5.6OpenAI · repriced Jul 30 · Luna −80%, Terra −20%
live
Fable 5.1Anthropic · dropped Sep 1 · cache reads −75%
live
Fable 5Anthropic · dropped Jun 9 · restored Jul 1
live
Claude Sonnet 5Anthropic · dropped Jun 30
live
Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic · dropped May 27
live
Fable 6.1Anthropic · future point release
future
Mythos 5.1Anthropic · dropped Sep 1 · advanced biology
live
Mythos 6Anthropic · future
future
Fable 5.2Anthropic · armed on the point-release cadence
radar
Fable 5.5Anthropic · Opus and Sonnet already hit 5.5
radar
Mythos 5.2Anthropic · the Mythos-tier twin
radar
Fable 6Anthropic · next generation
future
Mythos 5Anthropic · vetted partners only
restricted
Claude Opus 5Anthropic · dropped Jul 24 · now legacy, and dearer than 5.5
live
Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic · dropped Sep 22 · $4 / $20 · 1M ctx · called in 61s
live
Next Claude OpusAnthropic · 5.6+ or 6 · armed on the cadence
radar
Claude Sonnet 5.5Anthropic · dropped Sep 28
live
Next Claude SonnetAnthropic · 5.6+ or 6 · armed on the cadence
watching
Claude Haiku 5.5Anthropic · dropped Oct 7 · $0.10 / $0.50 up to 100K · 1M ctx
live
Next Claude HaikuAnthropic · 5.6+ or 6 · armed on the cadence
watching
Gemini 3.5 ProGoogle · 39% by Dec 31
radar
Gemini 3.5 Pro (gemdelta)Google · the internal codename, armed separately
radar
Gemini 3.8 FlashGoogle · dropped Sep 2 · same $0.75/$3.75 as 3.7 · 1M ctx
live
Gemini 3.9Google · Flash revs land every ~3 weeks
radar
Next Gemini ProGoogle · no date · Kalshi runs a market on it
future
Next Gemini Flash-LiteGoogle · Flash-Lite is on 3.5 · Polymarket runs a market
future
Gemini Omni ProGoogle · leaked alongside 3.5 Pro
rumored
Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle · live
live
Gemini 4Google · Argon announced Sep 30 · testers only
expected
Gemini experimental releaseGoogle · unnamed early build (gemini-exp-MMDD)
watching
Gemma 4Google · shipped Apr 2 · open weights
live
DiffusionGemmaGoogle · announced Jun 10 · read at $0.05/$0.15 Sep 19 · 262k ctx · open-weight text diffusion
live
Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle · live in preview since I/O
live
Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle · dropped Aug 13 · $0.75 / $3.75 introductory
live
Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle · dropped Jul 21 · superseded by 3.7
live
Gemini 3.5 Flash-LiteGoogle · dropped Jul 21 · $0.30 / $2.50
live
Gemini 3.5 TranscribeGoogle · dropped Aug 26 · speech-to-text · $2 / $12
live
Gemini Flash CyberGoogle · 3.8 Cyber, Fairwind pilot — govs & maintainers
restricted
Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0SpaceXAI · speech-to-speech · Jul 29
live
Grok 4.20SpaceXAI · dropped Mar 10
live
Grok 4SpaceXAI · live
live
Grok 4.4SpaceXAI · likely skipped — 4.5 shipped first
rumored
Grok 5SpaceXAI · Musk: before end of 2026
future
Grok 4.7xAI · dropped Sep 21 · AA index 46, 4th on coding · $2 / $6 · called in 60s
live
Grok 4.8xAI · in its grok-build code · no date
radar
Grok 4.9xAI · Musk put it ahead of Grok 5 · no date
radar
Grok 4.5SpaceXAI · dropped Jul 9 · called at 96%
live
Grok 4.6SpaceXAI · dropped Aug 12 · 1.5T · $2 / $6
live
Muse WonderMeta · dropped Oct 12 · $4 / $20 · Meta’s top model
live
Next Muse WonderMeta · 1.1+ or 2 · armed at launch
watching
New Meta Muse lineMeta · any Muse name we have not seen yet
watching
Muse Spark 2Meta · after Spark 1.1’s paid debut
future
Muse Spark 1.2Meta · dropped Aug 5 · $1.25 / $4.25
live
Muse Glimmer 30BMeta · dropped Aug 9 · the small Muse
live
Muse Spark 1.1Meta · dropped Jul 9 · surprise drop
live
Muse CodeMeta · terminal coding agent · Aug 5
live
Muse ImageMeta · dropped Jul 7 · MSL's first image model
live
Muse Spark 1.3Meta · dropped Sep 2 · same $1.25 / $4.25 · ~25% fewer tokens
live
Muse Spark 1.4+Meta · point releases land a month apart
radar
Llama 5Meta · open weights expected
expected
Mistral Large 4Mistral · dropped Oct 6 · $0.68/$2.09 now · 1T/49B active · weights by end of Oct
live
Next Mistral LargeMistral · after Large 4 · no word yet
future
Mistral Medium 4Mistral · mid-size follow-up
expected
DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeek · dropped Sep 10 · 1M ctx · $0.15 / $0.60
live
DeepSeek V4DeepSeek · dropped Apr 24 · open weights
live
DeepSeek V5DeepSeek · no date · V4.1-Pro is its named next
expected
DeepSeek V4.1 ProDeepSeek · named as its next release (Sep 10)
future
Next DeepSeek FlashDeepSeek · after V4.1 Flash · Polymarket runs a market
future
DeepSeek V4.2DeepSeek · next point release, no window yet
future
DeepSeek CodeDeepSeek · agentic coding on Harness
rumored
DeepSeek R3DeepSeek · next reasoning line
rumored
Qwen 3.8 MaxAlibaba · flagship since Aug 1 · 2.4T tier listed Aug 12
live
Qwen 3.8 FlashAlibaba · dropped Aug 26 · $0.15 / $0.47
live
Qwen 4 MaxAlibaba · in training (Sep 22) · no date
expected
Qwen 3.9 MaxAlibaba · no date · Polymarket runs a market
future
Qwen 3.9 FlashAlibaba · no date · Polymarket runs a market
future
GLM-5.5Zhipu · still expected after 5.3 · open weights · 1M ctx
radar
GLM-5.3Zhipu · dropped Aug 14 · tops CyberGym · 743B base
live
GLM-5.2Zhipu · dropped Jun 16 · the 743B base
live
GLM-5.3 FlashZhipu · dropped Aug 26 · weights on HF Aug 25
live
GLM-6Zhipu · no date · GLM-5.3 shipped Aug 14
expected
Kimi K3Moonshot · dropped Jul 15 · weights live Jul 28
live
Kimi K2.8Moonshot · next agent-swarm rev
rumored
Kimi K3.1Moonshot · researcher-confirmed · August window closed
radar
Next Kimi K3 (3.2+)Moonshot · any K3 point release past 3.1
future
Kimi K4Moonshot · next generation after K3
future
MiniMax M4MiniMax · no date in its Aug 26 results
radar
MiniMax M3MiniMax · dropped May 31 · $0.30 / $1.20
live
MiniMax M3.1MiniMax · M3.1-Flash-Preview in MiniMax Code Sep 27 · subscription only, no per-token price
preview
MiniMax M3.5MiniMax · M3 follow-up expected
expected
MiniMax-H3MiniMax · video · #1 editing · open weights
live
Wan 3.0Alibaba · video · 30s clips · GA Aug 24
live
BeamReflection AI · 501B/23B open weights · Apache 2.0 promised by end of October
expected
InklingThinking Machines · open weights · dropped Jul 15
live
Inkling-SmallThinking Machines · dropped Jul 30 · 276B/12B · SWE-bench 80.2%
live
FLUX 3Black Forest Labs · video GA Aug 4
live
FLUX 3 ImageBlack Forest Labs · image · in the API since Oct 1 · up to 4K, 10 references
live
Nano Banana 2.1Google · image · GA Oct 6 · about $0.034 a 1K image
live
Veo 3.1Google · video with audio · from $0.05 a second (Lite)
live
Gemini Omni FlashGoogle · video generation and editing · GA Aug 27
live
Seedance 2.5ByteDance · video · public API since Aug 7 · 30-second clips
live
Runway Gen-4.5Runway · video · $0.12 a second on its API
live
FLUX 3 DevBlack Forest Labs · open-weight backbone
expected
Ring 2.6Ant Group · 1T reasoning · May 8
live
Ling 3.0 FlashAnt Group · dropped Jul 23
live
Ring 3Ant Group · next reasoning rev
expected
Ling 3.1 FlashAnt Group · dropped Sep 30 · ~560B/25B
live
Ling 3.2 FlashAnt Group · next Ling rev
expected
Ornith 1.5DeepReinforce · dropped Aug 19 · 397B MoE · MIT
live
Granite 4.2IBM · dropped Aug 25 · 3B/8B/30B · Apache 2.0
live
Mercury 2.5Inception · dropped Aug 31 · diffusion LLM · 260k ctx
live
Nex-N2.5NEX AGI · listed Sep 8 · agentic · mini · Pro · Max
live
Nex-N2NEX AGI · the previous generation
live
K2 HorizonIFM · dropped Sep 3 · 0.9B–375B · fully open, with the training data
live
Sakana FuguSakana AI · listed Sep 11 · Max $2/$6 · Ultra v2 $5/$30 · 1M ctx
live
Atria DawnShanghai AI Lab · listed free Sep 14 · agentic research · 262k ctx
live
Agnes 3.0 FlashSapiens AI · read at $0.05/$0.15 Sep 9 · 524k ctx as listed
live
ParetoCircuit & Chisel · read at $2.50/$7.50 Sep 17 · 262k ctx · routes across frontier and open models
live
Ternary Bonsai 2 27BPrismML · read at $0.07/$0.50 Sep 18 · 262k ctx · 1.58-bit ternary compression of Qwen3.8 27B
live
Motif 3Motif Technologies · read at $0.50/$2.00 Aug 12 · 262k ctx · long-context MoE, open weights
live
Solar Pro 4Upstage · read at $0.30/$1.20 Aug 7 · 524k ctx · Solar Mini 4 read at $0.05/$0.20 Sep 23
live
LongCat 2.5Meituan · read at $0.75/$2.95 Sep 27 · 1M ctx · open-weight agentic coding line, gateway price
live
Perceptron Mk1.5Perceptron · read at $0.15/$1.50 Sep 25 · 37k ctx · embodied reasoning for robots and glasses
live
Ember-1Fireworks AI · read at $3/$15 Sep 24 · 1M ctx · Kimi K3 post-train, ~40% fewer reasoning tokens
live
Apodex 1.1Apodex · free tier read Oct 1 · 262k ctx · agentic family: 397B flagship, 35B open mini
live
GPT-Image-2.5OpenAI · dropped Sep 8 · image · Flare & Sunburst
live
GPT-Live-1OpenAI · voice · in the API Sep 10 · $0.05/min · per reporting
live
Mercury 2Inception · the shipped predecessor, listed since Feb
live
SWE-2Cognition · after SWE-1.7’s frontier-class run
future
Composer 3Cursor · from-scratch run on SpaceX’s Colossus
expected
Nova 2 LiteAmazon · the current generation, listed in the catalogs
live
Nova 2 ProAmazon · preview since Dec 2 · Nova Forge only · GA ahead
preview
Nova PremierAmazon · quietly listed in the public catalogs
live
MAI-2Microsoft · in-house frontier
rumored
Phi-5Microsoft · small open models
expected
Nemotron 4NVIDIA · open everything
expected
Ernie 5.5Baidu · expected
expected
Seed 2.5ByteDance · Doubao’s next engine
rumored
Step 3.8 FlashStepFun · next VLM rev
rumored
Step 5 PreviewStepFun · dropped Sep 20 · 600B MoE · 1M ctx · $1 / $2.70
live
Step 6StepFun · next flagship
radar
Hy4Tencent · preview dropped Aug 28 · 770B MoE · Apache 2.0
live
Command A PlusCohere · dropped May 20 · $2.50 / $10 · 128k ctx · open weights
live
North Mini CodeCohere · dropped Jun 9 · listed at $0 / $0 · 256k ctx · open weights
live
NorthCohere · the Mini shipped alone in June
expected
Command BCohere · next generation after Command A Plus
radar
MiMo-V2.5Xiaomi · dropped Apr 22 · $0.14 / $0.28 · 1.05M ctx · open weights
live
MiMo-V2.6Xiaomi · dropped Sep 21 · $0.43 / $0.87 Pro · 1.05M ctx · open weights
live
Next MiMoXiaomi · V2.7 or V3, whichever lands first
radar
✳ plans

Start free. Get louder when it matters.

Free is the Chrome push the second a launch is confirmed, plus an email about 15 minutes later. Pay only if you want your phone to buzz (Signal, $12, a text) or ring (The Call, $19.99, a call) that same second. No card to start, cancel anytime.

Free
Everything we see, you see: Chrome push the moment it's confirmed, email about 15 minutes after members. When Gemini 4 drops, that gap will feel long.
$0forever
  • Email alert on every launch
  • Chrome desktop notification
  • Dashboard: pick your models — SOTA-only, every lab, or a custom list
  • The radar, the wire, the bench index + a page for every tracked model
  • Live Polymarket odds on every watched launch
  • Email arrives in the free batch — about 15 minutes after members' alerts
Watch free

No card. No spam. Free forever. Instant push; email fifteen minutes later.

Signal
The 15-minute delay is gone — your phone buzzes on the same sweep that catches the launch.
$12per month
  • Everything in Free
  • Instant everything — email and SMS fire the moment a launch is confirmed, ahead of the free email batch
  • SMS the minute a model goes live
  • Per-model text routing — follow the models you care about, mute the rest
  • Quiet hours — overnight texts hold until morning
Get Signal →

Every feature on this card is live today. Cancel anytime. One tier up, your phone doesn't buzz — it rings.

new — the harness is live
The Watchtower
The Call tells you a model landed. The Watchtower tells you whether it's any good at YOUR work — and whether the one you already depend on just got worse.
$34.99per month · charter price
  • Everything in The Call — the ring, the texts, the routing, the quiet hours
  • Your prompts, scored on every launch — up to 20 of your real prompts run on the new model and on the model you use now; a judge from a third lab picks the better answer blind, the order alternating so neither side sits first
  • The verdict first — “7 better, 2 same, 1 worse than yours” in the subject line, then the judge's reason, prompt by prompt
  • Your report as a PDF — every prompt with the verdict, the judge's reason and both answers side by side (long ones abridged), plus reply times and the launch numbers
  • Alerts built your way — pick the model to compare against, choose what the email carries (price, context, cost vs yours, vs today's #1 and the best value), and keep texts short or put the numbers in them
  • Subscription watch — models quietly added to, or pulled from, the Gemini app & Anthropic's published model table (more surfaces next)
  • Sunset & deprecation alerts — hear before a model you rely on is retired
  • Price, limit & market-threshold alerts across the providers you pay
  • The weekly intelligence brief — what changed and what to do about it
Get the Watchtower →

Everything above is live today. $34.99 is the charter rate and never rises while you stay subscribed. Cancel anytime. Already on Signal or The Call? Upgrade from your dashboard: your plan ends when the Watchtower starts, and its unused days are credited. Everyone already on a paid plan keeps every feature they have today, permanently.

✳ The Call is the alert you cannot miss; the Watchtower is the verdict on what landed. Every untagged feature above is live today — see the full roadmap → · our public track record →

✳ straight answers

The honest answers.

How fast is “the minute it drops”?

Our checkers sweep provider APIs every 60 seconds, and a detection is confirmed on a second sweep before anything fires. The moment it's confirmed, paid alerts fire instantly: Signal texts you; The Call rings your phone (and texts). Chrome push goes out to everyone at that same moment; free email follows in a batch about 15 minutes later.

Which models do you watch?

The radar pins the latest confirmed drops on top and shows what lands next — the next Claude Opus, Grok 4.8, GLM-5.5 and Kimi K3.1. Gemini 3.5 Pro sits there too, for a different reason: it has been in limited preview since July, and since Gemini 4 Argon was announced on Sep 30, 9to5Google reports it cancelled, though Google has said nothing. The full watchlist tracks 170, including the restricted Gemini Flash Cyber, plus Grok 5, Fable 6, Gemini 4, DeepSeek V5 and more. Click any model for its own page: the leaks, the news, the official word, and the live Polymarket odds on when it drops. Tune alerts to SOTA-only, every major-lab LLM, or specific models, plus extra streams for AI tools, local models, and Chinese models.

How do you avoid false alarms?

A detection has to show up on two sweeps in a row, in a provider’s own model list or a public API catalog. Not a rumor, a leak, or a docs page. Where we can call the model, it also has to reply to a test prompt before any channel fires; where we can’t, the alert email says so plainly, so you know what was checked and what wasn’t.

What is the subscription watch?

A Watchtower feature that watches the AI subscriptions you already pay for. Today that’s the published Claude model lineup and the Gemini app’s model list, plus API prices and limits across providers (ChatGPT’s surface is next). When a model is quietly added (or pulled, the way Fable 5 was in June), you hear immediately. Every paid plan (Signal and The Call) gets the subscription watch today, and keeps it.

What’s the difference between Signal and The Call?

Signal ($12) kills the delay: instant SMS on the same sweep that catches the launch, routed per model. The Call ($19.99) is the tier whose phone rings, because a text gets missed and a call gets answered. Both cost less than one of the subscriptions they guard. Both also get the Watchtower’s watchers: your prompts run on every new model day-0 (the raw answers), and alerts when your AI subscriptions add or pull models, change prices or limits, or retire a model you rely on. You keep them. What only the Watchtower adds is the scoring.

What’s the Watchtower tier?

The tier for people who want their own evidence. The Call tells you a model landed; the Watchtower tells you whether it’s better at your work. Up to 20 of your own prompts run on every new model and on the model you use now. A judge from a third lab (never the lab of either model) compares each pair blind, and the order alternates so neither answer always goes first. You get the verdict by email (how many better, same and worse, and why) plus a PDF with both answers side by side. You also choose what your alerts carry: the model to compare against, the price and context numbers, and whether your texts include them. It includes everything in The Call and the watchers. $34.99/mo is the charter price and never rises while you stay subscribed. Already on Signal or The Call? Upgrade from your dashboard: your current plan ends when the Watchtower starts and its unused days are credited, so you never pay for both. Anyone already on a paid plan keeps every feature they have today, permanently.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. Every paid plan is monthly with no lock-in. Cancel in one click and keep access through the period you’ve paid for. One caveat worth knowing: The Call’s $19.99 charter rate is locked while you stay subscribed. Cancel and the lock is gone; rejoining later means whatever the price is then. (Grandfathered founders: same deal on your $9.)

What happened to Founding?

Founding closed in July 2026. It was the launch-era tier, $9/mo for the early believers, and everyone who joined keeps that rate for life, grandfathered unconditionally. It closed as a decision, not a sell-out. The ladder today is Free, Signal, and The Call.

Do you have a desktop or mobile app?

On the way. The plan: a macOS menubar radar with a full-screen drop banner, then iPhone and Android apps with widgets, then Windows and Linux trays. Today, email works everywhere and Chrome push works in desktop browsers and on Android; on an iPhone, email (or a paid text or call) is how alerts reach you. See the roadmap.

Are you affiliated with OpenAI, Anthropic, Google…?

No. ArtificialWatch is independent and not affiliated with, endorsed by, or operated by any AI lab. We watch their public APIs and tell you the second something ships.

✳ last call

You won’t be watching when it drops. We will.

Claude Haiku 5.5 dropped Oct 7 at $0.10 / $0.50 per million for prompts up to 100K tokens, a tenth of Haiku 4.5’s price, with a 1M-token context window. Anthropic’s own table puts it ahead of GPT-6 Luna, OpenAI’s model at the same price, on every benchmark both were run on. Next on the radar: Gemini 4 Argon, announced by Google on Sep 30 for trusted testers, with no public API yet. Be on the board before it answers.

✳ Email + Chrome push · no card · free forever