model radar / minimax / minimax-m4

MiniMax M4

MiniMax · the next M, promised for H2

new-gen M promised for H2 2026 m3 live since jun 1 — open weights 1M context · native multimodal

MiniMax's M3 landed June 1 and reset the open-weight bar: frontier coding (59.0% SWE-Bench Pro — above GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro), a 1M-token context window and native image + video understanding in one architecture. The company has publicly committed to a new M generation in the second half of 2026 — M3.5 or M4, the watch is the same. The second it answers, ArtificialWatch fires.

minimax-m4 — release odds live markets

A new-gen M model (M3.5 or M4) in H2 2026manifold 78%

M4 specifically by Dec 31manifold 41%

Next M keeps open weights + 1M contextmanifold 66%

odds as of Jul 7, 2026 · refreshed on every sweep · markets are sentiment, not a promise — the alert only fires on a real API answer

✳ the wire

Leaks & news, newest first.

Jul 7 · status

M4 is unannounced — but the successor is already promised

MiniMax has publicly committed to launching a new generation of M-series and Hailuo models in H2 2026. Whether it's badged M3.5 or M4, this page fires either way.

Jun 7 · weights

M3 weights land on Hugging Face

Six days after announcement, the full M3 weights went up — 428B parameters, open, with the community immediately probing what it takes to run at home. via Hugging Face · RunAIHome

Jun 1 · launch

M3: the first open model with frontier coding, 1M context and native multimodality

MiniMax shipped M3 with a 59.0% SWE-Bench Pro score — above GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro — plus a 1M-token window and native image/video understanding, priced at a fraction of the frontier rate cards. via MiniMax · Fireworks

✳ from minimax

The official word.

"A new generation of M-series and Hailuo models in the second half of 2026."

MiniMax, company roadmap · 2026

M3Live since Jun 1 — open weights, 1M context, native multimodal.

M3.5The expected mid-cycle refresh of the M3 line.

M4The next full generation this page watches — H2, per the company.

Hear it the second the next M answers.

We sweep MiniMax's public API every 60 seconds — M3.5 or M4, whichever ships, this watch fires. Email + Chrome push free, SMS and a phone call on paid tiers.