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model radar / openai / gpt-6

GPT-6

OpenAI · the next numbered generation
92% by Dec 31 not announced — 5.6 shipped instead “people want memory” — Altman

OpenAI has not announced GPT-6 — no date, no specs, no name confirmation. The model many expected to be it shipped as GPT-5.5 in April, and GPT-5.6 (Sol · Terra · Luna) followed on July 9 — by OpenAI’s own numbering, neither counts. What’s on record: Altman says the next generation arrives faster than the GPT-4→5 gap and that memory is the centerpiece. The market’s dated odds are in the ladder above, live — and the second GPT-6 answers on the public API, ArtificialWatch fires.

gpt-6 — release odds live markets
GPT-6 released by Aug 31polymarket 45%
Released by Sep 30polymarket 74%
Released by Dec 31polymarket 92%
odds as of Jul 11, 2026 · markets are sentiment, not a promise — the alert only fires on a real API answer
the wire

Leaks & news, newest first.

Jul 15 · leak

New leak: August target, 1.5M+ context, a new pre-train foundation

A fresh leak — circulating under both “GPT-5.7” and “GPT-6” labels, which itself tells you how firm it is — points at an August release: a 1.5M+ token context window, an entirely new pre-training foundation beyond the old base (with 10T-scale rumors attached), and substantial agentic/reasoning gains aimed at the Mythos/Fable tier. Nothing from OpenAI itself; if it ships as 5.7, the GPT-6 market doesn’t resolve. via WinCentral · Times of AI

Jul 9 · context

GPT-5.6 goes public — and it is not GPT-6

OpenAI shipped its “most capable system yet” in three tiers — Sol, Terra, Luna — as a 5.x point release. The numbering now means the digit marks the generation and the tier names persist across it, so the next numbered drop is the one this page watches. Polymarket’s rules agree: 5.x releases don’t resolve the GPT-6 market. via OpenAI · CNBC

Apr 30 · signal

Altman’s “extra goblins” GPT-6 post — a joke, read as a hint

Altman posted a joke prompt reading “start training GPT-6, you can have the whole cluster. extra goblins.” Widely read as a playful nod that GPT-6 is next — not an official signal, and we don’t treat it as one. via Futurism · TechRadar

Apr 23 · the pivot

GPT-5.5 ships — the model many expected to be GPT-6

Instead of a numbered bump, OpenAI released the model reportedly codenamed “Spud” as GPT-5.5 — and it absorbed much of the memory and agentic direction previously teased for GPT-6, resetting expectations for the numbered successor to H2 2026. via lifearchitect.ai (reported) · FinancialContent

Aug 19, 2025 · on record

Altman’s clearest GPT-6 framing: memory first, coming faster

On the record with CNBC: GPT-6 will arrive faster than the gap between GPT-4 and GPT-5, and personalization is the point — “People want memory.” Still the most concrete official statement about the model. via CNBC

from openai

The official word.

"People want memory."

Sam Altman, on GPT-6 · CNBC · Aug 19, 2025 — beyond this, OpenAI has disclosed no date, architecture, or specs.

GPT-5.5April 23 — the “Spud” release that absorbed the GPT-6 teases.
GPT-5.6July 9 — Sol · Terra · Luna, live now. The 5.x line’s latest.
GPT-6This page’s watch — unannounced; the market’s year-end odds are in the ladder above, and they move.

Hear it the second GPT-6 answers.

We sweep OpenAI’s public API every 60 seconds. The moment GPT-6 returns a real answer, your channels fire — email + Chrome push free, SMS and a phone call on paid tiers. No rumors, no reposted leaks: the alert means it’s answering.

On the board. You'll hear the second GPT-6 goes live.