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Qwen 4.0 Max

Alibaba · the next numbered flagship from China's top lab
96% alibaba holds top CN lab 3.7 max shipped may 20 quarterly flagship cadence

Alibaba's Qwen 3.7 Max landed May 20 with a 1M-token context window and benchmark wins over Opus 4.6 Max on Terminal-Bench 2.0 and SWE-Bench Pro — at roughly half the price. Markets put 96% on Alibaba holding the top-Chinese-lab crown, and the quarterly 3.6 → 3.7 cadence makes 4.0 Max the next numbered flagship to watch. The second it answers on the public API, ArtificialWatch fires.

qwen-4.0-max — release odds live markets
Alibaba is the top Chinese lab end of Julypolymarket 94%
A Qwen 4 family model by Oct 31manifold 55%
Qwen 4 launches with open weights alongside Maxmanifold 47%
odds as of Jul 7, 2026 · refreshed on every sweep · markets are sentiment, not a promise — the alert only fires on a real API answer
the wire

Leaks & news, newest first.

Jul 7 · signal

The market keeps Alibaba on top — 4.0 Max is the model it's pricing

At 96%, the top-CN-lab market is effectively settled sentiment. The open question is when the 3.7 line rolls over to 4.0 — and whether an open-weight Qwen 4 ships beside the Max.

May 20 · launch

Qwen 3.7 Max: 1M context, and it beats Opus 4.6 Max on the agentic benches

Announced at the Alibaba Cloud Summit in Hangzhou: 1M-token context, a 56.6 on the Artificial Analysis index, wins over Claude Opus 4.6 Max on Terminal-Bench 2.0, SWE-Bench Pro and MCP-Atlas, and a claimed 35-hour autonomous run across 1,000+ tool calls — at $2.50/$7.50 per 1M tokens. via Alibaba · Digital Applied

May 19 · detail

The API went live a day before the keynote

Model Studio served 3.7 Max on May 19 — a day ahead of the announcement — with OpenRouter and Together AI cross-listings on day zero. Alibaba ships API-first, which is exactly the surface we sweep. via Alibaba Cloud Model Studio

ongoing · status

Qwen 4.0: no official word — cadence is the tell

Nothing announced. But 3.6 → 3.7 took a quarter, and Alibaba hasn't let a flagship sit two full quarters since the Qwen 3 era. The math points at late summer to fall. via Manifold market

from alibaba

The official word.

"The model can work independently for over 35 hours at a time, managing more than 1,000 tool calls while retaining high performance."

Alibaba, Qwen 3.7 Max announcement · May 20, 2026

Qwen 3.7 MaxThe live flagship — 1M context, top of the agentic benches.
Qwen 4.0 MaxThe next numbered flagship this page watches — unannounced.
Qwen 4 (open)The expected open-weight sibling for local runners.

Hear it the second 4.0 Max answers.

We sweep Alibaba's Model Studio API every 60 seconds — and Qwen ships API-first, so this watch hears it before the keynote does. Email + Chrome push free, SMS and a phone call on paid tiers.

On the board. You'll hear the second Qwen 4.0 Max answers.