✳ releases · next Grok

When is the next Grok model coming out?

No date is confirmed. Polymarket prices Next Grok (4.8 or later) at 61% by Nov 30 and 83% by Dec 7. The latest Grok release was Grok Voice 3.0 on Oct 14, 2026.

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Every unreleased Grok model on the board, swept every 60 seconds. Odds are live Polymarket prices where a market exists: sentiment, not a promise.

  • Grok 4.861% by Nov 30 · 83% by Dec 7 · market: Next Grok (4.8 or later)
    Unannounced, no date — xAI's own public grok-build repo lists grok-4.8 in its model picker and router tests (read Sep 29; the tests use 500K and 256K context windows) · Nov 7: 47 days since Grok 4.7, still no grok-4.8 in xAI's API release notes (newest entry Nov 2, an image-model retirement) or in OpenRouter's catalog (newest xAI id grok-4.7), and xAI's public grok-build repo, where the 4.8 picker entry appeared, has had no push since Sep 29 · Musk's posts about Grok since Nov 4 cover Grok Bot features and give no 4.8 date (his X posts, read Nov 7) · the Polymarket market last traded at 64%, with the book at 59-61% (Nov 7) · Nov 10 09:35 UTC: Musk on X says pre-training is done, the SFT data needed a lot of cleanup, 4.8 is now in RL with evals starting to climb, and xAI will do a soft rollout to Bot users later this week; he says xAI dropped JAX/SGLang and rewrote its RL and inference stack in C/C++ (his X post) · at 10:51 UTC OpenRouter's newest xAI id is still grok-4.7 · Polymarket: next Grok by Nov 30 at 63%, by Dec 7 at 80% (Nov 10)
    Earlier reports (4)a Cursor server list reportedly carries grok-4.8-high, -high-fast and -xhigh-fast (single source) · Musk: ~2.5T params on a new C++ stack · Oct 7: Musk says most Grok Bot requests "will be handled by a lightning-fast version of Grok 4.8 when that comes out" (his X post) · Oct 30: Musk: "I know it's taken longer than expected, but Grok 4.8 will not be a disappointment", adding that xAI is not optimizing for benchmarks (his X post; still no date) · Nov 4: 44 days since Grok 4.7 shipped on Sep 21, already longer than the 34 days from 4.5 to 4.6 and the 40 from 4.6 to 4.7 · xAI's API release notes (newest entry Nov 2) and OpenRouter's catalog list no grok-4.8 · Polymarket's "next Grok (4.8+) by Nov 30" market: 65% (Nov 4)
  • Grok 548% by Mar 31
    No date · Musk on record: 6T parameters (Nov 17, 2025); on Sep 14 he put Grok 4.8 and 4.9 ahead of it · Nov 10 10:22 UTC: asked whether Grok matches Claude, Musk replied that it is not as good and called Opus 5.5 a masterpiece, adding that Grok 5 should exceed Opus 5.5, maybe in 2 or 3 months (his X reply) · still no id, price or date from xAI
  • Grok 4.9
    Unannounced — Musk (Sep 14) put 4.8 and 4.9 ahead of Grok 5 · no id, price or date · Sep 14: Musk on X: 'Grok 4.9 is probably Astra/Fable class', with Grok 4.8 'a noticeable improvement' on 4.7 (his post as quoted by TeslaNorth and Wccftech) · Nov 4: Grok 4.8 itself has not shipped, 44 days after Grok 4.7; no grok-4.8 or grok-4.9 id in OpenRouter's catalog; Polymarket's 'next Grok (4.8+) by Nov 30' market last traded at 67% · Nov 7: Grok 4.8 is still unshipped, 47 days after 4.7, and that market last traded at 64%
  • Grok 4.4
    Skipped · xAI went from Grok 4.3 (May 1) to 4.5 (Jul 9); its model list has no 4.4 and tops out at 4.7
  • Next Grok Voice (3.1+ / 4)
    No date · Grok Voice 3.0 shipped Oct 14, 2.5 months after Think Fast 2.0 (Jul 29)

Latest Grok releases

Grok: quick answers

When is the next Grok model coming out?

No date is confirmed. Polymarket prices Next Grok (4.8 or later) at 61% by Nov 30 and 83% by Dec 7. The latest Grok release was Grok Voice 3.0 on Oct 14, 2026.

What was the last Grok model released?

Grok Voice 3.0, live since Oct 14, 2026. Before it: Grok 4.7 (Sep 21, 2026), Grok 4.6 (Aug 12, 2026), Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0 (Jul 29, 2026).

What are the odds on the next Grok model?

Next Grok (4.8 or later): 83% by Dec 7; Grok 5: 48% by Mar 31 (Polymarket, live prices, not a promise).

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